SOURCE

Abdul el Sayed outperforms Mike Rogers in latest Michigan Senate poll (Susquehanna, Aug 11–17, 2026)

Properties1
tagsmichigan, senate, polling, el-sayed, rogers, susquehanna, 2026, general-election
OUTLET
Washington Examiner
AUTHOR
David Zimmermann
PUBLISHED
2026-08-19
LEAN
right
GENRE
reporting
ORIGINAL
view original

3 min read

Abdul el Sayed outperforms Mike Rogers in latest Michigan Senate poll

Author: David Zimmermann | Published: 2026-08-19 | Source: article

Summary

A right-leaning outlet’s straight write-up of a Republican pollster’s survey showing the Democrat ahead. Susquehanna Polling & Research, 800 likely voters, Aug 11–17, 2026, MoE 3.46: Abdul El-Sayed 46, Mike Rogers 39, 9 undecided, 4 another candidate. Internals: El-Sayed 91–0 among Democrats, 46–24 among independents/unaffiliated, Rogers 90–2 among Republicans; El-Sayed 62–24 in Detroit and environs; El-Sayed +9 (47–38) on inflation and the economy, the top issue; a majority disapprove of Trump; both nominees are net-unfavorable, and voters who disapprove of Trump and dislike both lean El-Sayed.

The piece’s framing matters for this wiki. It reads the poll as answering the consolidation worry: the Stevens voters appear to have come home, and El-Sayed “polls well among Democrats who identify as progressive and those who do not.” It then supplies the counter-caution in-house: Wisconsin’s Hong “boasted a large lead in polls” and lost, and one of the pollsters showing that lead, Median Strategies, “admitted to fabricating polls for multiple elections” after a Los Angeles Times report on its LA mayoral poll. It closes on the RealClearPolitics average at El-Sayed +0.7. Rogers’s Trump endorsement and El-Sayed’s “corporate shill and a Donald Trump suck-up” line are recorded.

Key Claims

  • Susquehanna (R), n=800 LV, Aug 11–17, ±3.46: El-Sayed 46 / Rogers 39 / 9 undecided / 4 other.
  • Democrats 91–0 El-Sayed; independents 46–24 El-Sayed; Republicans 90–2 Rogers.
  • Detroit area: El-Sayed 62–24. Economy/inflation handling: El-Sayed 47–38.
  • Both candidates net-unfavorable; majority disapprove of Trump.
  • RCP average at publication: El-Sayed +0.7.
  • Median Strategies, a pollster that showed Hong far ahead in Wisconsin, admitted fabricating polls (per the LA Times).
  • Rogers endorsed by Trump; pitching independents as having “a home” with him.

Direct quotes worth preserving

“There were concerns that he might struggle to consolidate support from moderate Democrats who voted for Rep. Haley Stevens (D-MI) in the Aug. 4 primary election, but the poll suggests those concerns may be unfounded come November.” — David Zimmermann, Washington Examiner

Why citable: a right-leaning outlet conceding the consolidation question in the socialist-framed nominee’s favor.

“Median Strategies, one of the pollsters showing a large lead for Hong, admitted to fabricating polls for multiple elections.” — David Zimmermann, Washington Examiner

Why citable: a fabrication admission inside the Wisconsin polling-miss story that the corpus’s nonresponse-bias explanation did not account for.

Connections

Entities mentioned: Abdul El-Sayed, Francesca Hong, Democratic Party Events: 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Debates: Does socialism win elections in America?

Contradictions / Tensions

  • Largest El-Sayed lead of the four post-primary polls (+7 vs +1/+4/+5); from a Republican house, which cuts against a partisan-house explanation.
  • The Median Strategies fabrication claim (as relayed here) complicates the “nonresponse bias” account of Wisconsin in Wisconsin surprise raises big questions about polls and Democratic voters: part of Hong’s polling lead may have been invented. The LA Times report is not in the corpus.

Notes

Lean is by outlet; the piece itself is neutral reporting with a mild GOP-warning register at the end. Retrieved because the pollster’s PDF was blocked.